lunes, 30 de abril de 2018

In China 'Trade War', What's Worse: Semiconductors Or Soybeans?

Investors should expect a volatile week for China stocks.

The Mere Threat Of A Trade War Is Posing Questions That China Can't Easily Answer

The real, and somewhat unreported, problem China faces is simply that its debt problems and its trade surplus with the U.S. are linked. It is the latter that generates the U.S. dollars used to inflate the credit bubble in China. For this reason, China cannot win a trade war against the U.S.

sábado, 28 de abril de 2018

First Quarter GDP Was Weaker Than 2.3% Headline Number When Inventory Build And Trade Are Removed

Inventory changes and the impact from exports and imports can have a large impact on reported GDP growth. When their effects are taken into account the March quarter’s GDP growth rate falls from 2.3% to 1.7%.

viernes, 27 de abril de 2018

Finanzmarkt: Vermögensverwalter Day von Rothschild rät zur Besonnenheit

„Dieses Börsenjahr hatte einen sehr turbulenten Start“, sagt Johannes Day, Leiter des Portfoliomanagements von Rothschild Wealth Management in Frankfurt.

Ein Vermögensverwalter aus den Hause Rothschild rät Anlegern zur Besonnenheit und erklärt, warum schlechte Börsentage eine gute Gelegenheit zum Einstieg bieten.

jueves, 26 de abril de 2018

The Right Industry For A Section 232 Review

America’s nuclear supply chain is rapidly deteriorating while Russian and Chinese suppliers aggressively try to fill the gap. U.S. uranium mining is in danger of disappearing, but a Section 232 (national security) trade case could give it a reprieve.

Trump Tariffs Aren't The Only Cause Of Supply Chain Unreliability

Say what you will about the Trump Administration, but it certainly hasn’t shied away from most talk about trade: In early 2017, just months after taking office, Trump sounded the alarm about a perceived trade deficits, starting with Canada of all places.

This China Billionaire Just Said Something Very Interesting About U.S. Trade Spat

Alibaba billionaire Jack Ma thinks China has to rely less on American tech.

Recreational Cannabis Fires Up North American Publishers And This Investment Guru

U.S. states and a Canadian province are bringing the underground North American recreational cannabis trade above ground.

Bilanzflut im Dax: Anleger kaufen VW

Anleger werden am Donnerstag mit vielen Dax-Bilanzen konfrontiert.

Am Aktienmarkt müssen sich die Anleger mit einer Flut an Bilanzen auseinandersetzen. Eine Aktie sticht besonders hervor, während die EZB ihren bisherigen Kurs weiter fortführt.

Scams, Lies, And Revenge Porn: In the Facebook Fallout, Will The U.S. Get New Privacy Laws?

In this edition of the #BytesChat, we convened a panel of tech experts to discuss the fast-moving developments on the online privacy front. Our special guest was Terrell McSweeny, Commissioner of the Federal Trade Commission. She was joined by Rob Seamans and Larry Downes.

Why The Petro-Dollar Is A Myth, And The Petro-Yuan Mere Fantasy

Those who believe that oil being traded in U.S. dollars gives the U.S. economy a unique advantage in the global economy have it exactly the wrong way around. Oil is trade in U.S. dollars 'because' the U.S. economy is the central economy in the global economic system.

miércoles, 25 de abril de 2018

Fears of a Trade War With China Are Receding

Fears of a trade war are receding now that President Trump has decided to send a large delegation to China

After Nasdaq CEO Blesses Cryptocurrency, Investors See Bigger Future For Bitcoin, Others

Cryptocurrency investors say Nasdaq's willingness to trade in Bitcoin and other coins part of a larger trend. Crypto isn't alive and kicking.

Studie: Dax weiter mehrheitlich in ausländischer Hand

Adidas: Bei ausländischen Anlegern sehr beliebt

Deutschlands Börsenschwergewichte sind bei ausländischen Investoren beliebt. Deutsche Privataktionäre sind derweil vor allem bei einem Unternehmen sehr stark vertreten.

Trump And The Half-Madman Theory Of International Negotiations

If Nixon’s madman strategy is to work, it needs to be applied half-way: crazy in the leadup to talks, clear-eyed in framing a resolution. Yet in his application of Nixon’s approach to U.S. trade policy, President Trump seems committed to applying the madman theory from start to finish.

Studie: Dax weiter mehrheitlich in ausländischer Hand

Handelssaal der Deutschen Börse: Mehr als jede zweite Aktie der deutschen Dax-Konzerne ist in ausländischem Besitz

Deutschlands Börsenschwergewichte sind bei ausländischen Investoren beliebt. Mehr als jede zweite Aktie der Dax-Konzerne ist in ihrem Besitz. Deutsche Privataktionäre sind derweil vor allem bei einem Unternehmen sehr stark vertreten.

martes, 24 de abril de 2018

A China-U.S. Trade War Would See Malaysia, Taiwan, South Korea And Brazil Suffer

Rising Sino-U.S. import tariffs would stir much of the world. Countries that ship parts to China or the United States for export to the other face particular risk. And be extra careful if you trade in soybeans.

Uranium Carry Trade Retains Competitive Edge With Nuclear Utilities

Uranium fuel buyers see financial carry-trade offers as the most competitive source of supply right now, Paladin CEO Alex Molyneux correctly observes. Unfortunately, Paladin's financials aren't getting a boost by that dynamic.

Börsengang in New York: Guter Start für Morphosys

Dr. Simon E. Moroney, Vorstandsvorsitzender von MorphoSys, an der Nasdaq.

MorphoSys,das bisher nur im Tec-Dax notierte Biotechnologieunternehmen hat es an die New Yorker Börse gezogen. Das Debüt war erfolgreich.

lunes, 23 de abril de 2018

Wall Street Keeps Missing The Target On Trade With China

Look for China to use the Trade War to try and its tech firms at the expense of ours. That is why I think we will fight to win.

Centene And Humana Have A Good Prognosis Now That Amazon Is Backing Out Of Healthcare

The CressCap model has identified a a potential pair trade in the healthcare sector with buy recommendations on Centene (CNC-US) and Humana (HUM-US) a sell opportunity in Akorn (AKRX-US). A pair trade could mitigate the risk of the healthcare sector's volatility as M&A talks ramp up.

domingo, 22 de abril de 2018

Trade Talks or Inflation -- What is Really Behind the US Dollar Decline?

During the bull run on the US dollar, was it simply overvalued? Even despite the current decline in value, the US dollar remains at or above fair value. And inflation puts the dollar at risk of further decline.

viernes, 20 de abril de 2018

Trump's Explosive NAFTA Withdrawal Ploy - What Could Go Wrong?

To date, markets have fluctuated between treating President’s trade approach as innocuous rhetoric and viewing it as a real source of concern. There’s nothing innocuous about the idea of blowing up NAFTA.

Where U.S. Trade Policy and Grand Strategy Intersect

President Trump is shaking up America's trading partnerships. But the emergence of a clear adversary in China will push U.S. trade policy toward a more strategic path to contain Beijing.

Texas Needs a Modernized NAFTA Now

As trade ministers from Mexico, Canada, and the United States sprint to forge an agreement on NAFTA, the case of Texas reminds us of what the United States has at stake.

NAFTA? Tariffs? TPP? Trade Deficits? Let's Pay Attention To Oil

Lost amid all the controvery over NAFTA, TPP, Chinese tariffs and steel tariffs, and bilateral deficits is what will almost certainly have a far more senduring impact on the global economy, on global security, on geo-politics, than any of these other critical issues on President Trump's radar.

Gute Aussichten für den DAX

Als Fotomotiv und an der Börse: Der Bulle ist beliebter als der Bär.

Die öffentlichen Banken halten amerikanische Aktien noch immer für überbewertet. Dem Dax trauen sie bis Jahresende einiges zu.

Trump and the TPP: Swallow Your Pride

The first big move made by President Trump upon taking office in January 2017 was to sign away the Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP). The 12-nation trading pact had been painstakingly built by heads of state and trade negotiators from countries comprising 40% of world GDP

jueves, 19 de abril de 2018

Fibonacci Investing Basics

As a technical analyst, I rely on numbers, indicators, and patterns as the foundation of my trading decisions. These tools are used to develop a plan for every investment or trade, and one overlooked tool that I use frequently is ....

Stock Market Seems Directionless, Volatility Low As Investors Await News

It’s a quiet morning for the U.S. stock market. Futures are down a bit and volatility is muted as investors apparently are looking for news to trade on.

President Trump's Tariffs Threaten To Blunt America's Booming Energy Sector

With the increased risk of conflict in the Middle East, Venezuela’s continuing slow meltdown, the likelihood of renewed sanctions against Iran, and broader talk of a looming oil supply gap, now is not the time for President Trump to handicap America’s oil sector with a trade war with China.

7 Lakers Free Agent, Trade Targets Other Than LeBron James And Paul George

The L.A. Lakers certainly have their options once summer hits.

miércoles, 18 de abril de 2018

Netflix At $400?

Is there a case for Netflix shares to trade at $400 at present?

Inside Toyota's Giant Kentucky Factory: Japanese Production Techniques, Made In America

During our trade war with Japan, Toyota brought its production system to America.

Morgan Stanley Rounds Out Big Bank Earnings with Strong Results

Earnings season is off to a positive start with more strong big bank results this morning. The market seems to benefit from having solid numbers to trade on rather than rumor and innuendo, and tech earnings could be the key to assessing how consumer demand is shaping up.

martes, 17 de abril de 2018

Inside Toyota's Giant Kentucky Factory: Japanese Production Techniques, Made In America

During our trade war with Japan, Toyota brought its production system to America.

2018 NFL Draft Trade Rumors Heating Up As Event Nears

With the 2018 NFL Draft quickly approaching, rumors are flirting about regarding some potential blockbuster trades. Will teams move up for a quarterback? Are both Odell Beckham Jr. and Earl Thomas still available? Here's a look.

Who Is Buying U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas?

South Korea is quickly catching up with Mexico to become the largest buyer of U.S. LNG. But, the real action in future will be those nations where we have no free-trade agreement with, so U.S. policy must catch up.

What do Warren, Ethan, Ingvar and Arcadia, Wisconsin Have in Common? Furniture

As the furniture industry does its big trade show this week, the store line-up may make it the most unusual channel of distribution in American retailing today

Goldman, Netflix Earnings Help Stock Market As Geopolitical Worries Fade

Investors seem to be worrying less about Syria and trade and are focusing more now on earnings season. Banks have been doing well, and Netflix has provided optimism for tech stocks.

lunes, 16 de abril de 2018

YY, The More Things Change, The More They Remain The Same?

YY is cheaper than dirt thanks to the noisy shouting on China trade and tariffs

Can The 'Kudlow Effect' Stop Trump's Trade Tirades?

Larry Kudlow is no populist. How will he square his worldview with that of Trump's nationalist agenda?

In Zahlen: Dividendenregen 2018

In puncto Dividende strahlt Daimlers Stern in diesem Jahr besonders hell.

Die Dax-Firmen schütten jetzt wieder Gewinne aus. Dieses Jahr gibt es so viel Geld wie nie. Daimler zahlt am meisten.

Eporta: The Stunning Global "Airbnb Of Interior Design" Raises $8 Million

Eporta—a booming business that connects trade buyers and designers—is powering the $700 billion global design and furniture industry. “We’re the of Airbnb for design,” cofounder Aneeqa Khan tells Forbes. “We connect trade buyers directly with people who make wonderful products around the world.”

domingo, 15 de abril de 2018

Taking Advantage of All The NAFTA Noise Through Mexican Bonds

If we use Mexico as a case study on the impact of renegotiating trade deals, then look at the Mexican bond yield curve. The short-term noise surrounding NAFTA can be a huge opportunity.

For The First Time, Maritime Shipping Has A Climate Target

After years of prevarication, the International Maritime Organization has agreed to subject global shipping to a an emissions reduction target. What will it mean for global trade?

Billionaire Bruce Flatt Reveals Brookfield's Big Bet On China's Ascendance

Amid talk of trade wars and tariffs, globetrotting billionaire Bruce Flatt says Brookfield will plow a third of its assets into China in the next quarter century. Inside the plan of the $285 billion in assets investing giant.

Billionaire Bruce Flatt Reveals Brookfield's Big Bet On China's Ascendance

Amid talk of trade wars and tariffs, globetrotting billionaire Bruce Flatt says Brookfield will plow a third of its assets into China in the next quarter century. Inside the plan of the $285 billion in assets investing giant.

Trump's 'Trade War' Irony: America Loses By Not Rejoining The TPP

Trump's "America First" trade policies have created unanticipated collateral damage in the home land. First, American farmers lost out to foreign competitors when Trump pulled the U.S. out of the TPP. Next the "trade war" with China has resulted in yet more tariffs being placed on American farmers.

viernes, 13 de abril de 2018

Global Averages In Japan, India And Germany Upgraded As China Lags

The weekly charts for Japan’s Nikkei 225, India’s Nifty 50 and the German DAX have been upgraded to positive while China’s Shanghai Composite remains negative.

Trump May Join The New TPP, But Only Because The Old One Was Gutted

Under strong Congressional pressure, Donald Trump is scaling back his anti-trade rhetoric, and has even expressed a willingness to consider joining the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) signed by America's 11 former TPP partners.

jueves, 12 de abril de 2018

Trump To TPP: Don't Forget, America Last!

Hearing the President muse about rejoining the TPP is certainly preferable to a Tweet about another $50 billion worth of tariffs. But the return to a rational trade policy is still a long way off.

Trump Tariff Revenue? What Tariff Revenue?

While new money could flow from the tariffs, it’s anything but guaranteed. It’s certainly understandable why people would be looking for a silver lining to Trump trade policies, but there may be much less silver than one thinks.

How A U.S.-China Trade War Might Raise Apple And Huawei Smartphone Prices

China or the United States could add smartphone tariffs to their lists later, or components on today's lists could raise manufacturing costs. A third possibility: Consumers on each side get scared and buy fewer phones from the other.

miércoles, 11 de abril de 2018

Buying Legal Council's 2018 Legal Procurement Survey - Insights Into The Buying Of Legal Services

Dr. Silvia Hodges Silverstein, Buying Legal Council’s executive director, discusses the findings of the trade organization's 2018 survey, including actual legal spend numbers, tools of the trade, the extent of the cost savings and more.

Rich But Running Low, Tiny Brunei Joins China's Plan To Boost Eurasian Trade

Brunei faces a decline in energy reserves and falling world oil prices. China has stepped up economic cooperation since last year to help it.

Odell Beckham Jr. Trade Rumors: Teams That Should Meet The New York Giants' Price

It's not yet known whether Odell Beckham Jr. will moved moved. But if the star New York Giants' wide receiver is traded, here are three teams that should make a play for him.

How Badly Could U.S. Tariffs Hit China's Fledgling Aviation Industry?

U.S. tariffs proposed for China, the possible precursor to a trade war, would dim already tough prospects for exporting commercial jetliners.

What China's Response To U.S. Tariffs Tells Us About Their Free Trade Strategy

China's predatory behaviour has been possible for so long because they do have one large carrot, in the sense that their domestic market is sufficiently large that foreign companies willingly make sacrifices in order to gain whatever access the Chinese state is prepared to allow.

martes, 10 de abril de 2018

Trump's Trade War With China Could Leave West Virginia's Energy Sector Seriously Wounded

While in West Virginia on a campaign stop, President Trump referenced his proposed tariffs on Chinese imports — a pitch that fell flat in a state that is trying to woo its biggest energy investment ever, which is Chinese energy company.

Why China Is Hungry for Brazilian Soy

The trade spat between Washington and Beijing is only part of the reason Brazil is pulling ahead of the United States in soybean exports to China. In the years to come, the South American giant could get a stranglehold on the Far Eastern market.

Stocks Recoup Gains As Trade Fears Ease; Facebook CEO Testimony Ahead

Stocks appear to be headed higher Tuesday as China strikes a conciliatory note on trade. Plenty of eyes will be on Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s congressional testimony later today.

lunes, 9 de abril de 2018

Seeking An Antidote To Global Trade Jitters? Check Out These Buying Opportunities!

After being mostly absent in 2017, volatility has made a comeback. Gold performed as expected during the quarter, serving as a safe haven and delivering positive returns, while the price of oil surged more than 5 percent on U.S. dollar weakness and news that OPEC and Russia could be cooperating.

Stepping Back Cautiously: Trade Still Front and Center After Friday Plunge

The tenor of the week could start changing Tuesday when Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg testifies to Congress. Later in the week the focus is likely to turn to bank earnings. Trade fears might continue to be front and center, but Asian markets appeared to shrug off tariff talk.

Steel Yourself For Higher Consumer Prices

Will President Trumps trade tarrif on foreign steel and aluminum products result in higher consumer costs in surprising ways? In my latest column I'll explain why these well-intentioned decisions will backfire on the U.S. economy.

'Wet Blanket' Fed Is Getting A Pass As Market Continues Blaming China

If the market doesn't collapse today, Friday's sell-off had little to do with China "trade war".

domingo, 8 de abril de 2018

Trade War Keeping You Up At Night? Red Team It!

Trade wars are the sort of problems red teaming was created to solve. And one of the best ways to understand how events outside your control could impact your business strategies and plans is with the help of a red teaming tool called What-If Analysis.

sábado, 7 de abril de 2018

Analysten erwarten Gewinne für amerikanische Banken

Zwischen Kursgewitter und Börsenerholung: Aprilwetter in der Wall Street

Nach einem gemischten Jahresauftakt rechnen Analysten mit kräftig steigenden Gewinnen für amerikanische Banken. Nur ein Institut leidet unter einem Rufschaden.

viernes, 6 de abril de 2018

Friday Reverse: Market Falls, Volatility Spikes Amid Global Trade Fears

Talk of a blossoming trade war seemed to trigger a broad selloff on Wall St. Friday. Cooler heads may ultimately prevail, but it appears volatility is with us for the time being.

China offers to help US reduce its trade deficit

Responding to Trump's threats to ratchet up import tariffs, China says it wants to help reduce the US trade deficit

Jobs Pullback: Weak March Growth, Trade Fears, Stalk Market

U.S. payrolls added fewer than expected jobs, according to today's release from the Department of Labor. Plus, more tough trade talk from the U.S. and China rekindle fears of a trade war.

The U.S. and China Are In A War of Words, Not a Trade War -- And Beijing Has The Advantage

The escalating war of words between Washington and Beijing's is mostly bluster. The door is still wide open for negotiations, despite the heightening trade tensions. The next month will see negotiations and back-channel discussions, but, ultimately, Beijing will end up preserving its core interests.

Tariffs On Chinese Solar Products Are Set Hurt The U.S. Rather Than Help It -- Here's Why

Despite President Trump's statements to the contrary, cheap Chinese solar has been great for American jobs. Trump should be thanking China, not waging a trade war against it.

jueves, 5 de abril de 2018

Trump Is Going To Hate This Trade Data

Not only did the US trade deficit expand in February, it showed particularly disturbing trends regarding the Eurozone and China.

Das müssen Anleger bei der Dividendenjagd beachten

Passives Einkommen: Wer clever ist, investiert und verkauft zum richtigen Zeitpunkt.

Die Dividendenrenditen im Dax sind gerade so hoch wie selten. Fünf Prozent sind locker drin. Allerdings sollte man einige Dinge beachten, wenn man jetzt noch zuschlägt.

miércoles, 4 de abril de 2018

Trump's, Xi's Tariffs Won't Succeed. Here's Why

There's good news and the bad news with trade relations between the United States and China. The good news. While there might be a little escalation left in the tit-for-tat tariffs being announced, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping will find a path forward to save face. I hope.

A Damaging US-China Trade War Can Be Averted If Tempers Cool

The two government have to consult with each other before putting tariffs in effect.

Marktbericht - Handelskonflikt belastet Dax nur vorübergehend schwer

Die Börse in Frankfurt

Der deutsche Leitindex ging trotz des Handelsstreits zwischen China und Amerika mit einem moderaten Minus von 0,4 Prozent aus dem Handel. Die Börsianer erwarteten Vergeltung von Seiten Trumps.

The Trade War Is Here - Prepare For A Bear Market

China vs U.S. trade war is here, making selling stocks an appropriate investor reaction

Uncertainty Rules the Day as New Tariffs Spark Trade War Fears

A new round off tariffs announced by China spark trade war fears, with stocks in the U.S. and overseas falling Wednesday in early trading.

Trade Tariffs Are Not The Endgame - Intellectual Property Is

This is about Intellectual Property - not about tariffs, which is why the situation will get worse before it gets better - plus that is the President's style.

martes, 3 de abril de 2018

Los Angeles Rams Continue Hectic Offseason, Trade For Brandin Cooks

The Los Angeles Rams have reportedly acquired wide receiver Brandin Cooks from the New England Patriots. Obviously, the team is going all in here. But what does that mean for its long-term future?

Too Many Cannabis Industry Employees Impaired At Work

If the cannabis industry wants to be taken as seriously as the alcohol trade, it's going to have to put its foot down on workplace impairment.

China Eyes Improved India Ties In Case Of Sino-US Trade War

China is negotiating with another unhappy trading partner, India, as the U.S. government studies tariffs on up to $60 billion in Chinese goods.

lunes, 2 de abril de 2018

Boeing & China-US Travel To Experience Minimal Fallout From Tariff Disputes

The inter-dependencies in the trade relationship between China and the US render many sectors off-limits as retaliatory targets in a tariff conflict. Boeing is one of these, and so is the growing China-US travel sector. Any Chinese retaliation in these areas will be mutually destructive.

Canadian Real Estate Bubble Blowing Up North

Why do people believe the Vancouver real estate market will be different than all other real estate bubbles? This time is no different. So how do you short the Canadian housing trade?

The 8 'Dogs Of The Dow' Hit Hard In First Quarter, Here's How To Trade Them Now

The ‘Dogs of the Dow’ for 2018 ended March with an aggregate loss of 7.5% year-to-date. Here's how to buy and sell them now.

Markets Eyeing Tariffs, Yield Curve, Crude Oil, Jobs at Q2 Outset

As the second quarter of 2018 begins, the markets are keeping an eye on a possible trade war. Meanwhile, fresh readings on jobs, auto sales and construction spending lie ahead.